Do Financial Decisions Enhance Firm Value? The Mediating Role of Performance in Indonesia Consumer Non-Cyclical Firms
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33395/owner.v10i2.3071Keywords:
firm value, investment decision, capital structure, dividend policy, institutional ownership, firm performanceAbstract
This study investigates the effects of investment decisions, capital structure, dividend policy, and institutional ownership on firm value, with firm performance as a mediating variable, in the consumer non-cyclical sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sample comprises 38 firms with 150 panel data observations for the 2020-2024 period, selected using purposive sampling. Data analysis employed panel regression models fixed effect and random effect, chosen based on preliminary tests and the Sobel test to assess mediation effects. The findings reveal that investment decisions and capital structure enhance firm performance, whereas dividend policy reduces performance, and institutional ownership exerts no significant influence. In the firm value model, only capital structure demonstrates a positive and significant effect, while other variables show no direct impact. Mediation analysis confirms that investment decisions and capital structure indirectly strengthen firm value through firm performance, as effective investment allocation and leverage improve productivity and profit, which the market interprets as higher valuation. Conversely, dividend policy and institutional ownership do not exhibit mediating roles.The novelty of this research lies in incorporating institutional ownership into the financial decision firm value framework, thereby extending governance perspectives in corporate finance. Theoretically, the study reinforces firm performance as a key transmission mechanism in corporate finance models, while practically it highlights the importance of performance-oriented strategies and governance-based ownership in sustaining firm value under market uncertainty.
Downloads
References
Abedin, S. H., Haque, H., Shahjahan, T., & Kabir, M. N. (2022). Institutional Ownership and Firm Performance: Evidence from an Emerging Economy. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 15(12). https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15120567
Ade Wisnu Prasetya dan Musdholifah. (2023). Pengaruh Profitabilitas Dan Likuiditas Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan Yang Dimoderasi Oleh Kebijakan Dividen. Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis Dan Manajemen, 1(3), 190–200. https://doi.org/10.59024/jise.v1i3.201
Aditia, I., & Kustinah, S. (2023). The Effect of Capital Structure, Investment Decision and Working Capital Turn Over on Profitability. Accounting and Finance Studies, 3(3), 157–169. https://doi.org/10.47153/afs33.6902023
Albrianco Charisma GEA, Bambang MAHMUDI, E. S. (2025). The Mediating Effect Of Profitability On The Influence Of Capital Structure On Firm Value (An Empirical Study On Technology Sector Companies Listed On The Indonesia Stock Exchange For The 2015- 2023. International Journal of Business, Economics and Law, 4(2), 185–203.
Alfisyahrin, M. F., & Hanggraeni, D. (2024). Analyzing Firm Performance: The Influence of Enterprise Risk Management, Investment Decisions, and ESG Aspects in ASEAN-5 Non Financial Firms. Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance and Accounting, 5(3), 1066–1081. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Ananda, A., & Lisiantara, G. A. (2022). Pengaruh profitabilitas, struktur modal, ukuran perusahaan, likuiditas dan kebijakan dividen terhadap nilai perusahaan. Owner, 6(4), 3974–3987. https://doi.org/10.33395/owner.v6i4.1030
Ardiana, E., & Chabachib, M. (2018). Analisis Pengaruh Struktur Modal, Ukuran Perusahaan dan Likuiditas terhadap Nilai Perusahaan dengan Profitabilitas sebagai Variabel Intervening (Studi pada Perusahaan Consumer Goods yang Terdaftar di BEI pada Tahun 2012-2016). Diponegoro Journal Of Management, 7(2), 1–14. http://ejournal-s1.undip.ac.id/index.php/dbr
Atmaja, M. Z. S., & Utami, W. (2025). The Influence of Business Diversification, Investment Decision and Good Corporate Governance on Firm Performance (An Empirical Study on Companies in The Industrial Sector in ASEAN from 2019 to 2022). Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies, 5(3), 3544–3555. https://doi.org/10.59188/eduvest.v5i3.50898
Aureola Beatriz KAWITRI, L. M. I. (2025). The Effect Of Institutional Ownership On Company Value With Tax Avoidance As A Mediation Variable. Journal Of Governance, Taxation and Auditing, 4(2), 330–346. https://doi.org/10.55927/ijar.v4i7.15012
Bagiana, I. K., Rengganis, R. M. Y. D., Mirayani, L. P. M., & Setiawati, L. P. E. (2025). Impact of Dividend Policy on Firm Performance: Moderating Role of Credit Risk. Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Bisnis, 5(1), 276–284. https://doi.org/10.51903/jiab.v5i1.998
Bon, S. F., & Hartoko, S. (2022). The Effect of Dividend Policy , Investment Decision , Leverage , Profitability , and Firm Size on Firm Value. 7(3), 7–13.
Cahyono, H., Hermuningsih, S., & Hidayat, R. (2025). The Role of Profitability as a Mediation to Increasing the Influence of Institutional Ownership on Company Value. Proceeding of International Conference on Digital, Social, and Science, 2(01), 837–853. https://doi.org/10.62201/h2ad6738
Cameron, A. C., & Miller, D. L. (2015). A Practitioner ’ s Guide to Cluster-Robust Inference. 3–4.
De Villiers, C., Ma, D., & Marques, A. (2024). Corporate social responsibility disclosure, dividend payments and firm value – Relations and mediating effects. Accounting and Finance, 64(1), 185–219. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.13140
Diana, W., & Munandar, A. (n.d.). The Effect of Company Size, Capital Structure, and Profitability on Company Value Moderated by Dividend Policy. In International Journal of Economics Development Research (Vol. 4, Issue 3).
Effendi, S., & Prima, A. P. (2023). Analysis of The Influence of Institutional Ownership, Managerial Ownership, and Ownership Structure on Company Financial Performance: Case Study of Manufacturing Companies In Indonesia. Global Financial Accounting Journal, 7(2), 169. https://doi.org/10.37253/gfa.v7i2.8596
Eka Susanti, & Ickhsanto Wahyudi. (2025). Influence of Investment Decisions, Profitability, Company Size and Capital Structure on Company Value in the Pharmaceutical and Cosmetics Sector for the Period 2021-2023. Best Journal of Administration and Management, 3(3), 170–186. https://doi.org/10.56403/bejam.v3i3.274
Elisa Dwi Handini, & Dwi Ermayanti Susilo. (2025). Analyzing Profitability, Firm Size, and Capital Structure’s Impact on Firm Value. Journal of Accounting Science, 9(1), 114–131. https://doi.org/10.21070/jas.v9i1.1953
Elizabet Desi Astuti, & Saring Suhendro. (2023). Pengaruh Good Corporate Governance Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan Dengan Kinerja Keuangan Sebagai Variabel Mediasi. Jurnal Mutiara Ilmu Akuntansi, 2(1), 340–356. https://doi.org/10.55606/jumia.v2i1.2407
Erpina, E., & , Ahmad Rizal Budhiarto, M. (2025). The Impact of Investment Decisions, Funding Strategies, and Financial Performance on Firm Value: The Moderating Role of GCG. 6(2), 1–17.
Fauziah, A. R., Kusrina, B. L., Subiyakto, G., & Lestari, I. P. (2024). The Effect of Return On Equity and Current Ratio on Firm Value with Capital Structure as an Intervening Variable in Food And Beverage Sub-Sector Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the Period 2017-2021. Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING), 7(3), 6173–6185. https://doi.org/10.31539/costing.v7i3.9593
Ginanjar, A. (2021). The Effect Of Investment Decision, Financing Decision, Dividend Policy On Firm Value (Study On Food And Beverage Industry Listed On The Indonesia Stock Exchange, 2016-2018). 17(1), 1–12.
Gujarati, & Porter. (2009). The McGraw-Hill Series (A. E. Hilbert (ed.); 5th ed.). Douglas Reiner.
Gultom, O. G., Karamoy, H., & Rondonuwu, S. (2022). Capital Structure, Profitability, And Firm Value (Study In Listed Coompanies On Indonesia Stock Exchange Non-Cyclicals Consumer Sector For The Period 2016-2019). AFEBI Accounting Review, 7(1), 37–49.
Haerunnisah, Hermuningsih, S., & Maysan Damanik, J. (2025). Capital Structure and Asset Growth on Firm Value: Profitability as a Mediating Factor in the Economic Development of Manufacturing Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. International Journal of Economics Development Research, 6(1), 2025–2101.
Hairudin, H., Loliyani, R., & Loliyana, R. (2022). Efek Mediasi Profitabilitas: Pada Analisis Pengaruh Keputusan Investasi Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan Era Pandemi Covid-19. Jurnal Valuasi: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Manajemen Dan Kewirausahaan, 2(2), 825–850. https://doi.org/10.46306/vls.v2i2.113
Halawa, J., Nasution, F. N., & Fachrudin, K. A. (2024). Analysis the Effect of Company Size, Profitability, Capital Structure and Risk Profile on Firm Value with Dividend Policy as a Moderating in Banking on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (2013-2022). International Journal of Current Science Research and Review, 07(04). https://doi.org/10.47191/ijcsrr/V7-i4-27
Hertina, D., Erizal, R., & Khairunnisa, A. (2021). Corporate Value Impact of Managerial Ownership, Institutional Ownership and Audit Committee. Psychology and Education, 58(3), 14–22. www.psychologyandeducation.net
Himawan, N. A. (2022). Pengaruh Struktur Modal, Profitabilitas dan Kebijakan Dividen Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan (Studi empiris pada Perusahaan Sektor Property, Building dan Real Estate yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia tahun 2016 –2019). ECo-Fin, 3(1), 189–202. https://doi.org/10.32877/ef.v3i1.400
Husnia, A., Isbanah, Y., Surabaya, U. N., & Surabaya, U. N. (2022). The Effect of ESG Disclosure , Investment Decision , Funding Decision , and Dividend Policy on Firm Value ( Study on SRI-KEHATI Index Period 2019-. 166–175.
Jensen, & Meckling. (1976). Theory Of The Firm?: Managerial Behavior , Agency Costs And Ownership Structure. 3, 305–360.
Juliani Putri, R. (2023). The Effect of Dividend Policy and Profitability on Firm Value. Accounting and Finance Studies, 3(2), 142–156. https://doi.org/10.47153/afs32.6622023
Kanakriyah, R. (2020). Dividend Policy and Companies ’ Financial Performance. 7(10), 531–541. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no10.531
Kepramareni, P., Mirayani, L. P. M., & Idayani, N. P. T. M. (2024). Impact of Investment, Funding, and Profitability on Indonesian Manufacturing Firm Valuation. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Jagaditha, 11(1), 77–87. https://doi.org/10.22225/jj.11.1.2024.77-87
Khairunnisa, U., Yazid, H., & Ismawati, I. (2022). The Influence of Internal Audit, Capital Structure, Independent Board of Commissioners and Institutional Ownership on the Financial Performance of Banking Sector Companies Listed on the IDX for the 2018-2020 Period. Journal of Applied Business, Taxation and Economics Research, 1(6), 577–593. https://doi.org/10.54408/jabter.v1i6.105
Kumalasari, A. R. (2020). Model Peningkatan Nilai Perusahaan Melalui Kebijakan Pendanaan Agresif Dan Keputusan Investasi Dengan. Konferensi Ilmiah Mahasiswa UNISSULA, 1, 106–119.
Kurniati, Y.?;, & Andani, W. (n.d.). The Effect of Dividend Policy and Investment Opportunity on Firm Value Is Mediated by Capital Structure. https://doi.org/10.47814/ijssrr.v6i3.1091
Kurniawati, A., Wahyuni, S., Fitriati, A., & Inayati, N. I. (2022). The Effect of Capital Structure, Institutional Ownership, Liquidity, and Diversification Strategy on Financial Performance. Indonesian Journal of Business Analytics, 2(2), 111–128. https://doi.org/10.55927/ijba.v2i2.1602
Liong Harlina, & Uluputty Nurdjanna Fadjrin. (2024). Capital Structure, Financial Performance, Investment Decision and Firm Value. EAJ (Economic and Accounting Journal) , 7(ISSN 2615-7888), 23–31. http://openjournal.unpam.ac.id/index.php/EAJ
Meidiana Puri, R., Yuliani, Y., & Thamrin, K. M. H. (2024). The Effect Of Company Size And Capital Structure On Firm Value With Profitability As An Intervening Variable. Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies, 4(4), 2274–2292. https://doi.org/10.59188/eduvest.v4i4.1359
Melawati, H. G., & Rahmawati, M. I. (2022). Pengaruh Green Accounting Dan Pengungkapan Csr terhadap Nilai Perusahaan: Profitabilitas sebagai Variabel Mediasi. Jurnal Ilmu Dan Riset Akuntansi, 11(6), 1–25.
Meutia, R., Apridar, Mursidah, Mastuti, R., & Fuad, M. (2021). Investment decisions, financing and dividends to increase firm value: a case study of manufacturing companies in Indonesia. Economic Annals-XXI, 194(11–12), 67–72. https://doi.org/10.21003/ea-v194-08
Mioduchowska-Jaroszewicz, E. (2023). Investment decisions based on the financial performance of related parties. Procedia Computer Science, 225, 3313–3321. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2023.10.325
Mohammad Syafik. (2025). The Effect of Institutional Ownership and Foreign Ownership on Company Performance. Journal of Economics and Business (JECOMBI), 6(03), 244–255. https://doi.org/10.58471/jecombi.v6i03.147
Monica Yuliani, & Jonnardi. (2022). Pengaruh Struktur Modal, Profitabilitas, Likuiditas Dan Ukuran Perusahaan Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan. Jurnal Bisnis, Manajemen Dan Keuangan, 3(2), 739–747.
Mubarokah, F., & Indah, N. P. (2021). Pengaruh Keputusan Investasi , Pendanaan , dan Dividen Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan. XII(2), 163–180.
Natalia Pasaribu, Dadang Irawan, & Sigit Pramono Hadi. (2025). The Effect of Profitability, Asset Growth, and Profit Growth on Company Value. International Journal of Economics and Management Research, 4(3), 518–532. https://doi.org/10.55606/ijemr.v4i3.582
Natsir, K., & Yusbardini, Y. (2020). The Effect of Capital Structure and Firm Size on Firm Value Through Profitability as Intervening Variable. 24(6), 190–197. https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.200626.040
Nguyen, A. H., Pham, C. D., Doan, N. T., Ta, T. T., Nguyen, H. T., & Truong, T. Van. (2021). The Effect of Dividend Payment on Firm’s Financial Performance: An Empirical Study of Vietnam. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(8). https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14080353
Nianty, D. A., & Dewi, A. R. M. B. S. R. (2023). The Effect Of Investment Decisions, Capital Structure, And Dividend Policy On Financial Performance And Company Value In Banking Companies Listed On The Indonesia Stock Exchange For The 2019-2021. Revista de Gestao Social e Ambiental, 17(6), 1–18.
Njoku, O. E., & Lee, Y. (2024). Revisiting the Effect of Dividend Policy on Firm Performance and Value: Empirical Evidence from the Korean Market. International Journal of Financial Studies, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs12010022
Nugraha, A. S. (2025). Analysis of Capital Structure and Financial Performance on Firm Value. International Journal of Business, Law, and Education, 6(1), 771–778. https://doi.org/10.56442/ijble.v6i1.1102
Nur, F. G., & Bintara, R. (2023). Pengaruh Struktur Modal, Kepemilikan Institusional dan Profitabilitas Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan. Jurnal Akuntansi, Keuangan, Pajak Dan Informasi (Jakpi), 3(1), 16–27.
Nurhaliza, S. (2021). Anjlok Paling Dalam, Saham Sektor Consumer Non-Cyclical Turun Hingga 11,29 persen. IDX Chnnerl.Com. https://www.idxchannel.com/market-news/anjlok-paling-dalam-saham-sektor-consumer-non-cyclical-turun-hingga-1129-persen?
Nurhidayah, N., Purwidianti, W., Miftahuddin, M. A., & Handayani, E. (2024). The Influence of Capital Structure, Profitability, and Dividend Policy on Firm Value in the LQ45 Index from 2017–2021. 24(11), 923–938. https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-204-0_76
Nursela, L., Siswani, M., & Budianto, E. (2024). Factors Affecting Company Value In The Consumer Noncyclical Industry Sector Listed On The Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management, 3(12). https://doi.org/10.59141/jrssem.v3i12.668
Nwannunu, S. E. (2022). Capital Structure and Firm Performance: Evidence From 2021 Best-Performed Stocks in Nigeria. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Applied Science, 07(09), 65–75. https://doi.org/10.51584/ijrias.2022.7907
OJK, O. J. K. 2024. (2024). Indonesia Financial Sector Assessment. Otoritas Jasa Keuangan.
Pamungkas, B., Asrifah, G. C., Nurhayati, N. S., Miftahuddin, A., & Yoga, P. (2024). The Effect of Profitability and Liquidity on Firm Value with Capital Structure as a Moderating Variable. Atestasi?: Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi, 7(1), 763–776. https://doi.org/10.57178/atestasi.v7i1.940
Pristiana, U., & Murtadho, M. (2025). Improving Firm Value to Dividend Policy Evidence of Indonesia Public Company in Emerging Market. Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Kesatuan, 13(4), 2521–2532. https://doi.org/10.37641/jimkes.v13i4.3515
Putu, N., & Suhandi, M. (2021). The Effect Of Institutional Ownership, Capital Structure And Company Growth On Firm Value: Evidence From Indonesia. In International Journal of Digital Entrepreneurship and Business (IDEB) (Vol. 2, Issue 2). https://ejournal.jic.ac.id/ideb/
Rachmat, R. A. H., & Hendayana, Y. (2023). Ownership institutional and firm value: the mediating role of profitability in Indonesian firms. JPPI (Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan Indonesia), 9(4), 9. https://doi.org/10.29210/020232242
Raffi Uz-zaky, M., Deseria, R., & Studi Manajemen Keuangan, P. (2024). The Influence of Investment Decisions, Profitability, Capital Structure, and Company Size on the Value of Property and Real Estate Companies on the IDX. Ijafibs, 12(3), 217–229. www.ijafibs.pelnus.ac.id
Rahman Alamsyah, A., Subroto, B., Aisjah, S., & Djazuli, A. (n.d.). The Effect of Ownership Structure, Capital Structure, and Investment Opportunity Set on Firm Values Mediated by a Dividend Policy. In International Journal of Innovation, Creativity and Change. www.ijicc.net (Vol. 12, Issue 6). www.ijicc.net
Ramansyah, F. P., Husaini, H., Jummaini, J., & Wardhiah, W. (2023). Determination Of Firm Value In The Consumer Cyclicals Sector Listed On The Indonesia Stock Exchange. Proceedings of International Conference on Finance Economics and Business (ICOFEB), 1(1), 33.
Ridwan Tabe, S. L. V. Joyce Lapian, S. M. J. B. M. (2022). The Effect of Firm Size, Investment Opportunity Set, and Capital Structure on Firm Value. The Seybold Report, 17(105), 56–74. https://doi.org/10.58661/ijsse.v2i2.42
Rita Mulyani, & Retno Fuji Oktaviani. (2022). Analysis of Funding and Investation Decisions To the Value of Company With Profitability As Moderation in Pharmacy Sub-Sector Companies Before and During the Covid-19 Pandemic. Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah, Akuntansi Dan Perbankan (JESKaPe), 6(2), 224–236. https://doi.org/10.52490/jeskape.v6i2.515
Rofifudin, F. M., Aisah, N., & Rizkiawan, I. K. (2025). The Impact of Firm Size, Dividend Policy, Profitability, and Investment Decisions on Firm Value in Indonesian SRI-KEHATI Index Companies. 5(2).
Ross. (1997). The Determination of Financial Structure: The Incentive-Signalling Approach. CFA Digest, 27(1), 5–7. https://doi.org/10.2469/dig.v27.n1.2
Rusdiah Hasanuddin. (2021). The Influence of Investment Decisions, Dividend Policy and Capital Structure on Firm Value. Jurnal Economic Resources, 4(1), 48–48.
Said, S. (2024). Dividend Policy and Firm Performance: A Review of Theories and Empirical Literature. OALib, 11(10), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.4236/oalib.1112284
Sakawa, H., & Watanabel, N. (2020). Institutional ownership and firm performance under stakeholder-oriented corporate governance. Sustainability (Switzerland), 12(3). https://doi.org/10.3390/su12031021
Salju, Sapar, A. (2022). The influence of capital structure ownership structure and investment opportunities directly or indirectly on firm value mediated by dividend policy. In Jurnal Mantik (Vol. 6, Issue 1).
Saragih, A. E., & Tampubolon, H. (2023). Pengaruh Komisaris Independen, Kepemilikan Institusional, Kepemilikan Manajerial dan Komite Audit Terhadap Nilai Perusahaan (Studi pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2017-2018). Jurnal Minfo Polgan, 12(2), 1085–1095.
Satrio, L. B., Achsani, N. A., & Andati, T. (2024). Capital Structure and Its Impact on Firm Financial Performance in the Transportation and Logistic Sector. Business REview and Case Studies, 5(1), 58–69.
Sector and Sub Sector Classification. (n.d.). IDX.Id. https://www.idx.id/en/products/stocks
Setiawan, A. B., & Prajitno, S. (2024). Investment Decision, Profitability and Other Factors Affecting Firm Value. E-Jurnal Akuntansi TSM, 4(2), 397–408. https://doi.org/10.34208/ejatsm.v4i2.2568
Shinta Wijayaningsih, & Yulianto, A. (2021). Accounting Analysis Journal The Effect of Capital Structure, Firm Size, and Profitability on Firm Value with Investment Decisions as Moderating. Accounting Analysis Journal, 10(3), 150–157. https://doi.org/10.15294/aaj.v10i3.50744
Spence Michael. (1973). Spence1973. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 355–374. http://www.jstor.org/stable/1882010
Suardhika, I. N., Hidayati, S. A., & Arifah Tara, N. A. (2024). The role of profitability in mediating the influence of funding decisions, investment decisions and company size on company value. Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi, 5(4), 1814–1827. https://doi.org/10.59141/jist.v5i4.1037
Suteja, J., Gunardi, A., Alghifari, E. S., Susiadi, A. A., Yulianti, A. S., & Lestari, A. (2023). Investment Decision and Firm Value: Moderating Effects of Corporate Social Responsibility and Profitability of Non-Financial Sector Companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 16(1). https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16010040
Taufik, M. I., & Dwiastuti, N. (2025). Revisiting the Role of Institutional Ownership in Sharia-Compliant Stock Performance?: Evidence from the Jakarta Islamic Index ( 2020 – 2023 ). 6, 132–140.
Yuswandani, A. E., Tubastuvi, N., Darmawan, A., & Rahmawati, I. Y. (2023). The Effect Of Capital Structure, Profitability and Liquidity on Firm Value With Dividend Policy As A Moderating Variable. Sentralisasi, 12(2), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.33506/sl.v12i2.2156
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Ana Dwi Setyaning, Maulida Nurul Innayah, Naelati Tubastuvi, Hengky Widhiandono

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.







