Perbandingan Akurasi Model Altman, Zmijewski, dan Grover untuk Memprediksi Financial Distress Industri Media Hiburan
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33395/owner.v10i3.3448Keywords:
Financial Distress, Accuracy Rate, Altman, Zmijewski, GroverAbstract
Financial distress is a condition in which a company experiences financial pressure and, if not properly addressed, can lead to insolvency. The media and entertainment industry is particularly vulnerable to this situation. This study aims to determine which financial distress prediction model is more accurate for the entertainment media industry. The models used in this study are the Modified Altman Z-Score Model, the Zmijewski Model, and the Grover Model. Fourteen media and entertainment companies were sampled for the study between 2020 and 2024. The predicted data from the three models were compared with actual conditions, with indicators of negative net profit and negative operating cash flow simultaneously. The results showed that the Zmijewski model had the highest accuracy rate of 75.7%, followed by the Grover model with an accuracy rate of 70%, and the Altman model with an accuracy rate of 62.9%.
Downloads
References
Altman, E. I. (1968). FINANCIAL RATIOS, DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS AND THE PREDICTION OF CORPORATE BANKRUPTCY. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589–609. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1968.tb00843.x
Ditasari, R. A., Triyono, & Sasongko, N. (2019). Comparison of Altman, Springate, Zmijewski and Grover Models in Predicting Financial Distress on Companies of Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) on 2013-2017. Advancing Scientific Thought for Future Sustainable Development. International Summit on Science Technology and Humanity (ISETH2019).
Goh, T. S. (2023). Monograf: Financial Distress. Indomedia Pustaka.
Hasan, A. A. (2024). Terancam Pailit karena Utang Rp 8,79 Triliun, Ini Kinerja Keuangan Perusahaan Media Milik Keluarga Bakrie. Tempo.Co. https://www.tempo.co/ekonomi/terancam-pailit-karena-utang-rp-8-79-triliun-ini-kinerja-keuangan-perusahaan-media-milik-keluarga-bakrie-1316
Java News Network. (2025). Gelombang PHK di Industri Media Nasional, Ratusan Pekerja Terdampak. Java News Network. https://jnn.co.id/2025/05/03/gelombang-phk-di-industri-media-nasional-ratusan-pekerja-terdampak/
Kistiningtyas, A., Panjaitan, F., & Agin, A. A. (2019). ANALISIS PENGGUNAAN LABA DAN ARUS KAS UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI KONDISI FINANCIAL DISTRESS PADA PERUSAHAAN INDUSTRI MAKANAN DAN MINUMAN YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA PERIODE TAHUN 2015—2018. JURNAL AKUNTANSI BISNIS DAN KEUANGAN (JABK), STIE-IBEK, 6(2).
Muhlison, Sahlan, H., & Setiawan, K. A. (2025). Analisis Komparatif Model Prediksi Financial Distress pada Perusahaan Media di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam, 6(12).
Natania, C., & Suhartono, S. (2024). Analisis Perbandingan Akurasi Model Prediksi Financial Distress pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Sektor Consumer Cyclical: (Studi Kasus Subsektor Tekstil dan Garmen di BEI 2020-2022). Jurnal Manajemen, 13(2), 82–101. https://doi.org/10.46806/jm.v13i2.1124
Noerdin, S. (2025). Peluang Dan Tantangan Industri Media di Era Disrupsi. https://umj.ac.id/opini/peluang-dan-tantangan-industri-media-di-era-disrupsi/
Purba, R. B. (2023). Teori Akutansi: Sebuah Pemahaman untuk Mendukung Penelitian di Bidang Akuntansi. Merdeka Kreasi.
Putri, H. T., & Syukri, M. (2020). Penggunaan Model Zmijewski dan Model Grover dalam Memprediksi Kesulitan Keuangan pada Industri Otomotif yang Terdaftar di BEI Tahun 2014-2018. Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business, 4(2), 268. https://doi.org/10.33087/ekonomis.v4i2.169
Raganata, A., & Astuti, T. D. (2025). Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Leverage dan Likuiditas Terhadap Financial Distress Pada Perusahaan Consumer Non-Cyclical. RIGGS: Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Business, 4(2), 4605–4613. https://doi.org/10.31004/riggs.v4i2.1286
Rosdiana, M., Lasmini, L., & Nadeak, T. (2024). Pengaruh Laba dan Arus Kas Operasi untuk Memprediksi Kondisi Financial Distress pada Perusahaan Manufaktur SubSektor Makanan dan Minuman yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2018-2022. Jurnal Pendidikan Akuntansi (JPAK), 12(1).
Sari, K., & Subardjo, A. (2022). PENENTU KONDISI FINANCIAL DISTRESS (STUDI PADA PERUSAHAAN PERBANKAN YANG TERDAFTAR PADA BURSA EFEK INDONESIA). Jurnal Ilmu dan Riset Akuntansi, 11(9).
Sidauruk, H. W., & Akadiati, V. A. P. (2021). Pengaruh Laba dan Arus Kas terhadap Financial Distress pada Perusahaan Non Bank. “Geliat Investasi Dalam Pusaran Pandemi: Membaca Celah Pemulihan Ekonomi Nasional Di Era New Normal.” Prosiding Seminar Nasional Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Tidar 2021.
Souisa, H. (2025). Dampak PHK Pekerja Media di Indonesia Mengancam Demokrasi. ABC Australia. https://www.abc.net.au/indonesian/2025-05-09/dampak-phk-pekerja-media-di-indonesia-terhadap-demokrasi/105268566
Susanti, F., Rasyad, R., & Wardi, J. (2022). PENGARUH LABA DAN ARUS KAS TERHADAP KONDISI FINANCIAL DISTRESS PADA PERUSAHAAN MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA. Jurnal Kajian Akuntansi dan Auditing, 17(2), 126–134. https://doi.org/10.37301/jkaa.v17i2.92
Tempo Institute. (2023). Tantangan Media Konvensional Saat Ini. https://blog.tempoinstitute.com/berita/tantangan-media-konvensional-saat-ini
Utami, A. D., & Mahastanti, L. A. (2022). Perbandingan Tingkat Akurasi Model Prediksi Financial Distress Pada Perusahaan Sektor Property dan Real Estate. AFRE (Accounting and Financial Review), 5(1), 50–63. https://doi.org/10.26905/afr.v5i1.7526
Wruck, K. H. (1990). Financial distress, reorganization, and organizational efficiency. Journal of Financial Economics, 27, 419–444. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(90)90063-6
Zmijewski, M. E. (1984). Methodological Issues Related to the Estimation of Financial Distress Prediction Models. Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 59. https://doi.org/10.2307/2490859
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Hana Nur Rofiah, Sri Luna Murdianingrum

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.







